Major League Soccer

Oct 21, 2023 at 11pm UK

Gillette Stadium

New England
2 - 1
Philadelphia

Bou (25' pen., 42')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Carranza (16')
Harriel (7'), Lowe (23'), Wagner (24'), Carranza (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 3-2 New England
Sunday, October 15 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Nashville
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New England Revolution in this match.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	Philadelphia Union
43.63% ( -0.13)	23.89% ( -0.02)	32.48% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 60.76% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.68% (

0.16)

41.32% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.28% (

0.16)

63.72% (

-0.16)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.8% (

0.01)

19.2% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.11% (

0.02)

50.88% (

-0.02)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.2% (

0.16)

24.79% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.63% (

0.23)

59.37% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 43.63%

Philadelphia Union 32.48%

Draw 23.88%

New England Revolution	Draw	Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.29% Total : 43.63%	1-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.88%	1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.48%