Major League Soccer

Oct 8, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Subaru Park

Philadelphia
0 - 0
Nashville

Andres Martinez (24'), Andres Martinez (24'), Glesnes (90'), Glesnes (90')

Maher (18'), Maher (18'), Zimmerman (72'), Zimmerman (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 3-2 Atlanta
Thursday, October 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nashville SC

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 0-1 Orlando City
Thursday, October 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 57%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 19.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	Nashville SC
57% ( -0.15)	23.06% ( 0.05)	19.94% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 51.43% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.94% (

-0.09)

48.06% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.78% (

-0.08)

70.22% (

0.08)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.37% (

-0.08)

16.63% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.54% (

-0.15)

46.46% (

0.15)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.69% (

0.05)

38.31% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.93% (

0.05)

75.07% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 56.99%

Nashville SC 19.94%

Draw 23.06%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	Nashville SC
1-0 @ 11.42% 2-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 56.99%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.06%	0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.5% Total : 19.94%