Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.