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Charlotte FC
Major League Soccer
Jul 9, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Bank of America Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Charlotte FC
2 - 2
Cincinnati

Swiderski (14', 14', 24', 24')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Acosta (52' pen., 52' pen.), Barreal (68', 68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Charlotte FC and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 1-1 Charlotte FC
Thursday, July 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Charlotte FCDrawFC Cincinnati
43.63% (0.477 0.48)25.45% (0.174 0.17)30.91% (-0.647 -0.65)
Both teams to score 54.65% (-0.872 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.99% (-1.007 -1.01)49.01% (1.012 1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.91% (-0.917 -0.92)71.09% (0.925 0.92)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.6% (-0.202 -0.2)22.4% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.08% (-0.309 -0.31)55.92% (0.316 0.32)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.43% (-0.93299999999999 -0.93)29.57% (0.94 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.4% (-1.157 -1.16)65.6% (1.164 1.16)
Score Analysis
    Charlotte FC 43.63%
    FC Cincinnati 30.91%
    Draw 25.45%
Charlotte FCDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 9.91% (0.345 0.35)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.41% (0.213 0.21)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.7% (0.084 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 43.63%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.62% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 8.07% (0.125 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-2 @ 4.92% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 30.91%

How you voted: Charlotte FC vs Cincinnati

Charlotte FC
14.3%
Draw
19.0%
FC Cincinnati
66.7%
21
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 12.30am
Mar 26, 2022 9pm