Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 59.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 18.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Charlotte FC |
| 59.27% ( | 22.09% ( | 18.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.23% ( | 45.77% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.91% ( | 68.09% ( |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.93% ( | 15.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.41% ( | 43.59% ( |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.6% ( | 38.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.85% ( | 75.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Charlotte FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.95% ( 2-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 3-0 @ 6.54% ( 3-1 @ 6.26% ( 4-0 @ 3.09% ( 3-2 @ 3% ( 4-1 @ 2.96% ( 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 5-0 @ 1.17% ( 5-1 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 59.27% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 2-2 @ 4.75% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.09% | 0-1 @ 5.54% ( 1-2 @ 5.02% ( 0-2 @ 2.65% ( 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.32% Total : 18.64% |