Major League Soccer

Jun 22, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
2 - 2
NY City

Wolff (11', 11'), Nicolas Firmino (90+5'), Firmino (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Pereira (1', 1', 56', 56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 3-1 DC United
Sunday, June 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 1-1 Columbus Crew
Saturday, June 17 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a New York City FC win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	New York City FC
55.99% ( 1.82)	22.49% ( -0.48)	21.52% ( -1.34)

Both teams to score 55.68% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.41% (

0.56)

43.59% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.02% (

0.55)

65.98% (

-0.55)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.59% (

0.82)

15.41% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.77% (

1.51)

44.23% (

-1.51)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.82% (

-0.92)

34.18% (

0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.13% (

-1)

70.87% (

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 55.99%

New York City FC 21.52%

Draw 22.49%

Atlanta United	Draw	New York City FC
2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.33) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.63% Total : 55.99%	1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.49%	1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.14% Total : 21.52%