New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 51.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 23.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.