Major League Soccer

Apr 23, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
3 - 1
Dallas

Rodriguez (44', 50'), Magno (55')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Antonio Martinez (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 2-1 Nashville
Sunday, April 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 58.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 18.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Dallas
58.88% ( 0)	22.51%	18.62% ( -0)

Both teams to score 50.94% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.41% (

-0.01)

47.59% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.21% (

-0.01)

69.79% (

0.01)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.18% (

-0)

15.82% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.01% (

-0.01)

45% (

0.01)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.52% (

-0.01)

39.48% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.83% (

-0.01)

76.18% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 58.86%

Dallas 18.62%

Draw 22.5%

New York City FC	Draw	Dallas
1-0 @ 11.51% 2-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 6.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.07% 4-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.11% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.22% Total : 58.86%	1-1 @ 10.7% 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.5%	0-1 @ 5.81% 1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 18.62%