Major League Soccer

Apr 16, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Toyota Stadium

Dallas
2 - 1
Salt Lake

Ferreira (5'), Kamungo (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Savarino (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Miami 0-1 Dallas
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Salt Lake 3-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, April 9 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 64.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dallas in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Dallas.

Result
Dallas	Draw	Real Salt Lake
64.02% ( -0)	21.24% ( 0)	14.73% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 46.82% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.12% (

0.02)

48.88% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.02% (

0.01)

70.98% (

-0.01)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.42% (

0.01)

14.58% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.34% (

0.01)

42.66% (

-0)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.81% (

0.02)

45.19% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.92% (

0.02)

81.08% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Dallas 64.02%

Real Salt Lake 14.73%

Draw 21.24%

Dallas	Draw	Real Salt Lake
1-0 @ 12.68% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.21% 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.84% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.77% 4-1 @ 3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.32% Total : 64.02%	1-1 @ 10.07% 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.24%	0-1 @ 5.24% 1-2 @ 4% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.08% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 1.33% Total : 14.73%