Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 1.30am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Toyota Stadium
  • Jesus Ferreira 5' goal
  • Bernard Kamungo 88' goal
  • goal Jefferson Savarino 68'

Dallas vs Real Salt Lake - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 9, 2023 12.30am
Inter Miami 0 - 1 Dallas
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Jesus Ferreira

Real Salt Lake

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 9, 2023 2.30am
Salt Lake 3 - 1 Charlotte FC
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Jefferson Savarino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 64.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dallas in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Dallas.

Result

Dallas 64.02% (-0.01)
Draw 21.24% (+0.01)
Real Salt Lake 14.73% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.82% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.12% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 48.88% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 29.02% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 70.98% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 14% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86% (-0.01)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5 85.42% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 14.58% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 57.34% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 42.66% (-0.01)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5 54.81% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 45.19% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 18.92% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 81.08% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Dallas 64.02%
Draw 21.24%
Real Salt Lake 14.73%
Dallas
1-0 @ 12.68% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 12.21%
2-1 @ 9.7% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.84% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.23% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.77%
4-1 @ 3% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1.19% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 64.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.07%
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.85% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 21.24%
Real Salt Lake
0-1 @ 5.24%
1-2 @ 4% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.08% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 14.73%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Aug 28, 2022 2.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alan Velasco 7' goal
  • Alan Velasco 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jasper Loffelsend 36'
  • yellowcard Maikel Chang 45'
  • goal Anderson Julio 69'
Major League Soccer
Jul 24, 2022 3.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Pablo Ruiz 40' yellowcard
  • Jasper Loffelsend 86' yellowcard
  • Justin Meram 86' yellowcard
  • Justen Glad 89' yellowcard
  • goal Jesus Ferreira 14'
  • yellowcard Alan Velasco 22'
  • yellowcard Jader Obrian 85'
  • yellowcard Jesus Ferreira 88'
  • yellowcard Edwin Cerrillo 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Maarten Paes 90'+6'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 42
Oct 28, 2021 1.00am
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Matt Hedges 20' goal
  • Franco Jara 57' yellowcard
  • goal Damir Kreilach 80'
  • goal Albert Rusnak 90'+1'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 29
Sep 5, 2021 1.00am
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Justen Glad 42' goal
  • Aaron Herrera 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Menendez 54' goal
  • Albert Rusnak 65' yellowcard
  • Albert Rusnak 72' goal
  • goal Franco Jara 19'
  • yellowcard Jader Obrian 25'
  • yellowcard Nkosi Burgess 49'
  • goal Jesus Ferreira 80'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 9
May 23, 2021 1.00am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Andres Ricaurte 24' yellowcard
  • Franco Jara 43' goal
  • Bressan 69' yellowcard
  • Ryan Hollingshead 84' goal
  • goal Rubio Rubin 20'
  • goal Damir Kreilach 86'
  • yellowcard Justen Glad 89'
  • yellowcard Aaron Herrera 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Albert Rusnak 90'+4'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 21
Oct 25, 2020 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rio Tinto Stadium
  • Jeizon Jesus Ramirez Chacon 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Jeizon Ramirez 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Franco Jara 75'