Major League Soccer

Mar 5, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Toyota Stadium

Dallas
3 - 1
LA Galaxy

Velasco (45+2'), Ferreira (56', 64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Joveljic (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Dallas 0-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, February 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 LA Galaxy
Friday, October 21 at 3am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
Dallas	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
46.12% ( 0.08)	24.8% ( 0.01)	29.07% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 55.77% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.92% (

-0.11)

47.08% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.68% (

-0.1)

69.32% (

0.1)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.52% (

-0.01)

20.47% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.05% (

-0.01)

52.94% (

0.01)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.12% (

-0.12)

29.87% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.03% (

-0.15)

65.96% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Dallas 46.12%

Los Angeles Galaxy 29.07%

Draw 24.8%

Dallas	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 46.12%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.8%	0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 29.07%