Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 1.30am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Toyota Stadium
  • Alan Velasco 45'+2' goal
  • Jesus Ferreira 56' goal
  • Jesus Ferreira 64' goal
  • goal Dejan Joveljic 35'

Dallas vs Los Angeles Galaxy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 26, 2023 1.30am
Dallas 0 - 1 Minnesota Utd
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Jesus Ferreira

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 9, 2022 10.00pm
Houston 1 - 3 LA Galaxy
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Tyler Boyd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result

Dallas 46.12% (+0.09)
Draw 24.8% (+0.02)
Los Angeles Galaxy 29.07% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.77% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.92% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 47.08% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 30.68% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 69.32% (+0.10)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5 79.52% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 20.47% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 47.05% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 52.94% (+0.01)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5 70.12% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 29.87% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 34.03% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 65.96% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Dallas 46.12%
Draw 24.8%
Los Angeles Galaxy 29.07%
Dallas
1-0 @ 9.7% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.29% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.69% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.91% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.07% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.61% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 46.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.12% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.8%
Los Angeles Galaxy
0-1 @ 7.39% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 29.07%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 31, 2022 2.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Franco Jara 9' goal
  • Franco Jara 35' yellowcard
  • Edwin Cerrillo 82' yellowcard
  • Paul Arriola 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chase Gasper 22'
  • yellowcard Eriq Zavaleta 38'
  • yellowcard Raheem Edwards 53'
  • yellowcard Julian Araujo 62'
Major League Soccer
May 15, 2022 3.30am
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Douglas Costa 67' goal
  • Douglas Costa 77' yellowcard
  • Sega Coulibaly 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Jesus Ferreira 11'
  • goal Paul Arriola 20'
  • goal Jesus Ferreira 23'
  • yellowcard Tsiki Ntsabeleng 26'
  • yellowcard Marco Farfan 64'
  • yellowcard Paul Arriola 75'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 40
Oct 24, 2021 3.00am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Rayan Raveloson 4' yellowcard
  • Javier Hernandez 65' goal
  • Sebastian Lletget 83' goal
  • Nick DePuy 85' yellowcard
  • Javier Hernandez 86' yellowcard
  • goal Jesus Ferreira 30'
  • goal Franco Jara 41'
  • yellowcard Jader Obrian 66'
  • yellowcard Paxton Pomykal 70'
  • yellowcard Jimmy Maurer 78'
  • yellowcard Ema Twumasi 90'
  • yellowcard Bressan 90'+5'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 18
Jul 25, 2021 1.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Andres Ricaurte 18' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Pepi 27' goal
  • Ricardo Pepi 44' goal
  • Ricardo Pepi 50' goal
  • Jimmy Maurer 78' yellowcard
  • Jader Obrian 88' goal
  • yellowcard Adam Saldana 22'
  • yellowcard Julian Araujo 59'
  • yellowcard Danilo Acosta 83'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 15
Jul 8, 2021 3.30am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Rayan Raveloson 17' goal
  • Kevin Cabral 27' goal
  • Ethan Zubak 51' goal
  • Nick DePuy 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ema Twumasi 54'
  • yellowcard Edwin Cerrillo 57'
  • goal Franco Jara 71'
  • yellowcard Jader Obrian 83'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 45
Oct 4, 2020 9.30pm