| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Minnesota United | 28 | 4 | 44 |
| 2 | Dallas | 29 | 7 | 43 |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 2 | 42 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 29 | 7 | 43 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 2 | 42 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers | 29 | 1 | 39 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 55.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Dallas |
| 55.84% ( | 22.76% ( | 21.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.09% ( | 44.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.74% ( | 67.26% ( |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.08% ( | 15.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.83% ( | 45.17% ( |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.96% ( | 35.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.22% ( | 71.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Dallas |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% ( 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 2-0 @ 9.42% ( 3-1 @ 6.05% ( 3-0 @ 5.77% ( 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 4-1 @ 2.78% ( 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 4-2 @ 1.46% 5-1 @ 1.02% ( 5-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 55.83% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.75% | 0-1 @ 5.85% ( 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0-2 @ 3.07% ( 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2% Total : 21.4% |