Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 55.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.