| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 28 | 7 | 42 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 26 | -1 | 38 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 0 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 28 | 7 | 42 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 26 | -1 | 38 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 0 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 57.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 19.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 57.14% ( | 23.7% ( | 19.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.36% ( | 51.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.58% ( | 73.42% ( |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.13% ( | 17.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.36% ( | 48.64% ( |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.78% ( | 41.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.25% ( | 77.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dallas | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 1-0 @ 12.68% ( 2-0 @ 10.92% ( 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 3-0 @ 6.27% ( 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 4-0 @ 2.7% ( 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 5-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 57.13% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 2-2 @ 4.29% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.7% | 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 1-2 @ 4.98% ( 0-2 @ 2.89% ( 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 2-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 2.03% Total : 19.17% |