| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 24 | 7 | 35 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 23 | 1 | 34 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers | 24 | 4 | 32 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 22 | 19 | 48 |
| 2 | Dallas | 24 | 7 | 35 |
| 3 | Minnesota United | 23 | 5 | 35 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 41.2% ( | 26.1% ( | 32.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.24% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.85% ( | 51.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27% ( | 73% ( |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.47% ( | 24.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.99% ( | 59% ( |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.55% ( | 29.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.55% ( | 65.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% ( 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 2-0 @ 7.13% ( 3-1 @ 4.08% ( 3-0 @ 3.34% ( 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 4-0 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 41.2% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 8.83% ( 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0-2 @ 5.4% ( 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 1-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.7% |