| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Salt Lake | 20 | -1 | 30 |
| 2 | Dallas | 21 | 6 | 29 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 20 | 0 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 20 | -3 | 22 |
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City | 21 | -12 | 20 |
| 9 | Toronto | 21 | -13 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 18.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 58.58% | 22.66% | 18.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.98% | 48.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.81% | 70.19% ( |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.93% | 16.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.55% ( | 45.45% ( |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.43% ( | 39.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.74% | 76.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 11.62% 2-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 6% 4-0 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 2.74% 4-2 @ 1.27% 5-0 @ 1.08% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.15% Total : 58.57% | 1-1 @ 10.77% 0-0 @ 6.36% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.65% | 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 1-2 @ 5% 0-2 @ 2.73% 1-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.18% Total : 18.76% |