Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 65.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 13.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.86%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.