Major League Soccer

Jul 4, 2022 at 1am UK

National Sports Center

Minnesota Utd
3 - 2
Salt Lake

Reynoso (9', 45+3'), Amarilla (61')
Boxall (15')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Savarino (71'), Julio (76')
Ruiz (33'), Herrera (37'), Brody (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

Last Six:

Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-3 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Vancouver Whitecaps	18	-4	22
7	Minnesota United	17	-1	21
8	Houston Dynamo	17	-2	21

Real Salt Lake

Last Six:

Last Game: Salt Lake 0-0 Columbus Crew
Sunday, June 26 at 3am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Real Salt Lake	17	1	29
2	Dallas	17	7	26
3	Seattle Sounders	17	7	26

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 21.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	Real Salt Lake
54.24% ( 0.39)	23.98% ( -0.11)	21.78% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 51.25% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.35% (

0.16)

49.65% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.33% (

0.15)

71.67% (

-0.15)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.79% (

0.21)

18.21% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.77% (

0.35)

49.22% (

-0.35)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.66% (

-0.18)

37.34% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.87% (

-0.17)

74.12% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 54.23%

Real Salt Lake 21.78%

Draw 23.98%

Minnesota United	Draw	Real Salt Lake
1-0 @ 11.58% 2-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 54.23%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.98%	0-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.66% Total : 21.78%