Major League Soccer

Jun 30, 2022 at 3.30am UK

The Home Depot Center

LA Galaxy
2 - 3
Minnesota Utd

Delgado (60' pen.), Joveljic (90+3')
Williams (70')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Reynoso (9', 43'), Fragapane (36')
Boxall (20'), Fragapane (41'), Trapp (85'), Rosales (90+4')
Rosales (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

Last Six:

Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-1 Portland
Saturday, June 18 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Dallas	16	9	26
3	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	1	24
4	Seattle Sounders	15	6	23

Minnesota United

Last Six:

Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 26 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Colorado Rapids	16	-1	19
9	Minnesota United	16	-2	18
10	Sporting Kansas City	18	-12	16

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 23.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Minnesota United
53.07% ( -0.14)	23.51% ( -0.01)	23.42% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 54.86% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.12% (

0.17)

45.88% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.81% (

0.16)

68.19% (

-0.17)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.76% (

0.01)

17.24% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.45% (

0.02)

47.55% (

-0.03)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.29% (

0.22)

33.71% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.64% (

0.24)

70.36% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 53.06%

Minnesota United 23.42%

Draw 23.51%

Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Minnesota United
1-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.72% 3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.83% Total : 53.06%	1-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.51%	0-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 23.42%