| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Atlanta United | 14 | 5 | 19 |
| 9 | Inter Miami | 15 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 1 | 17 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Colorado Rapids | 15 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Minnesota United | 15 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 15 | -3 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Miami in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Inter Miami.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 38.65% ( | 26.42% ( | 34.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.92% ( | 52.08% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.19% ( | 73.8% ( |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.68% ( | 26.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.55% ( | 61.45% ( |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.51% ( | 28.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.73% ( | 64.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 2-0 @ 6.68% ( 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 4-0 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.64% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0-3 @ 2.47% ( 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 1-4 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.93% |