| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 18 | 3 | 27 |
| 4 | Minnesota United | 19 | 2 | 27 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 18 | 4 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Toronto | 19 | -10 | 19 |
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City | 20 | -12 | 19 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 19 | -9 | 17 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 17.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 61.62% ( | 21.08% ( | 17.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.04% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.47% ( | 43.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.08% ( | 65.91% ( |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.39% ( | 13.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.26% ( | 40.73% ( |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.39% ( | 38.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.64% ( | 75.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( 2-0 @ 10.45% ( 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 3-0 @ 6.95% ( 3-1 @ 6.61% ( 4-0 @ 3.47% ( 4-1 @ 3.3% ( 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 5-0 @ 1.38% ( 5-1 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 61.62% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.08% | 0-1 @ 5% ( 1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 1-3 @ 1.51% ( 2-3 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 2.17% Total : 17.29% |