Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 17.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.