| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 19 | 7 | 32 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 18 | 1 | 29 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 18 | 1 | 25 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Chicago Fire | 18 | -8 | 17 |
| 9 | DC United | 17 | -15 | 17 |
| 10 | Sporting Kansas City | 19 | -13 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 17.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 61.35% ( | 21.6% ( | 17.04% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.76% ( | 46.24% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.46% ( | 68.53% ( |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.43% ( | 14.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.37% ( | 42.62% ( |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.46% ( | 40.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.86% ( | 77.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% ( 2-0 @ 10.95% ( 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 3-0 @ 7.04% ( 3-1 @ 6.35% ( 4-0 @ 3.39% ( 4-1 @ 3.06% ( 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 5-0 @ 1.31% ( 5-1 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 61.34% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 2-2 @ 4.47% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.6% | 0-1 @ 5.33% ( 1-2 @ 4.64% ( 0-2 @ 2.41% ( 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 2-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 17.04% |