Major League Soccer

Jul 4, 2022 at 1am UK

Livestrong Sporting Park

Kansas
0 - 1
NY Red Bulls

Fontas (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Long (53')
Harper (58'), Tolkin (79'), Amaya (83')
Nealis (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

Last Six:

Last Game: Seattle 3-0 Kansas
Saturday, June 25 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Chicago Fire	17	-7	17
9	Sporting Kansas City	18	-12	16
10	DC United	15	-10	14

New York Red Bulls

Last Six:

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-1 Atlanta
Friday, July 1 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union	17	9	29
2	New York Red Bulls	18	6	29
3	CF Montreal	17	5	29

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for New York Red Bulls in this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	New York Red Bulls
42.78% ( 0.15)	25.55% ( 0.15)	31.66% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 54.67% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.86% (

-0.76)

49.13% (

0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.79% (

-0.69)

71.2% (

0.69)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.13% (

-0.26)

22.86% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.4% (

-0.38)

56.6% (

0.38)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.87% (

-0.57)

29.12% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.94% (

-0.71)

65.05% (

0.71)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 42.78%

New York Red Bulls 31.66%

Draw 25.55%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.14% Total : 42.78%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.55%	0-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.66%