| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Salt Lake | 21 | 2 | 33 |
| 2 | Dallas | 21 | 6 | 29 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers | 21 | 3 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Salt Lake | 21 | 2 | 33 |
| 2 | Dallas | 21 | 6 | 29 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers | 21 | 3 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 54.14%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Dallas |
| 54.14% ( | 24.04% ( | 21.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.15% ( | 49.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.16% ( | 71.84% ( |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% ( | 18.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.59% ( | 49.41% ( |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.59% ( | 37.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.8% ( | 74.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Dallas |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% ( 2-0 @ 9.87% ( 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 3-0 @ 5.59% ( 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 4-0 @ 2.37% ( 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 4-2 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 54.14% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 2-2 @ 4.77% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.04% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0-2 @ 3.31% ( 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 1.65% Total : 21.82% |