Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 54.14%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.