| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 17 | 2 | 22 |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | Toronto | 18 | -10 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 18 | 4 | 28 |
| 3 | Dallas | 18 | 7 | 27 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 17 | 7 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Dallas |
| 42.26% ( | 25.7% ( | 32.04% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.35% ( | 49.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.33% ( | 71.67% ( |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% ( | 23.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.7% ( | 57.3% ( |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.87% ( | 29.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.93% ( | 65.06% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Dallas |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% ( 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 4-2 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.04% Total : 42.26% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.39% ( 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 1-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.04% |