Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.