| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 16 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo | 17 | 0 | 21 |
| 7 | Toronto | 18 | -10 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 50.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Charlotte FC |
| 50.23% ( | 25.46% ( | 24.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.92% ( | 53.08% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.34% ( | 74.66% ( |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.85% ( | 21.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.99% ( | 54.01% ( |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.12% ( | 36.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.33% ( | 73.66% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Charlotte FC |
| 1-0 @ 12.11% ( 2-0 @ 9.41% ( 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 3-0 @ 4.87% ( 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 4-0 @ 1.89% ( 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 4-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 50.22% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 2-2 @ 4.68% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0-2 @ 3.88% ( 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 1.77% Total : 24.31% |