Major League Soccer

Jun 30, 2022 at 3.30am UK

Banc of California Stadium

Los Angeles
3 - 1
Dallas

Musovski (23'), Arango (57'), Opoku (86')
Cifuentes (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ferreira (38')
Servania (12'), Burgess (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

Last Six:

Last Game: Austin 2-2 Dallas
Sunday, June 26 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Real Salt Lake	17	1	29
2	Dallas	16	9	26
3	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	1	24

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 61.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 17.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FC	Draw	Dallas
61.93% ( -0.79)	20.52% ( 0.2)	17.55% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 55.48% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.45% (

0.15)

40.55% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.07% (

0.15)

62.93% (

-0.15)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.42% (

-0.18)

12.58% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.35% (

-0.37)

38.65% (

0.37)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.47% (

0.77)

36.53% (

-0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.68% (

0.77)

73.32% (

-0.77)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles FC 61.93%

Dallas 17.55%

Draw 20.52%

Los Angeles FC	Draw	Dallas
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.59% Total : 61.93%	1-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.52%	1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.46% Total : 17.55%