| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Salt Lake | 18 | 0 | 29 |
| 2 | Dallas | 17 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Seattle Sounders | 17 | 7 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 17 | 2 | 22 |
| 9 | Inter Miami | 16 | -4 | 21 |
| 10 | Atlanta United | 17 | 3 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 65.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 13.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.78%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 65.9% ( | 20.66% ( | 13.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.91% ( | 49.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.83% ( | 71.16% ( |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.93% ( | 14.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.34% ( | 41.66% ( |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.75% ( | 47.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.33% ( | 82.67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dallas | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 1-0 @ 13.03% ( 2-0 @ 12.78% 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 3-0 @ 8.36% ( 3-1 @ 6.27% ( 4-0 @ 4.1% ( 4-1 @ 3.07% ( 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 5-0 @ 1.61% ( 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 4-2 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 65.89% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 2-2 @ 3.59% ( Other @ 0.64% Total : 20.66% | 0-1 @ 4.98% ( 1-2 @ 3.67% ( 0-2 @ 1.87% ( 1-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2% Total : 13.44% |