| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Salt Lake | 20 | -1 | 30 |
| 2 | Dallas | 20 | 6 | 28 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 2 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Austin FC | 20 | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 17 | 39 |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 20 | -1 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 55.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 21.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Austin FC |
| 55.15% ( | 23.39% ( | 21.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.46% ( | 47.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.26% ( | 69.74% ( |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.9% ( | 17.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.71% ( | 47.29% ( |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.54% ( | 36.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.75% ( | 73.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dallas | Draw | Austin FC |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 3-1 @ 5.78% ( 3-0 @ 5.72% ( 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 4-1 @ 2.55% ( 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 5-1 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 55.14% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.38% | 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 1-2 @ 5.61% ( 0-2 @ 3.17% ( 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 1.78% Total : 21.46% |