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Major League Soccer
Jul 9, 2022 at 3am UK
Banc of California Stadium
LA Galaxy

Los Angeles
3 - 2
LA Galaxy

Cifuentes (17', 70'), Arango (72')
Palacios (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Grandsir (55'), Raveloson (81')
Alvarez (8'), Coulibaly (45+3'), Edwards (59'), Williams (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 1-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, July 3 at 3am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy

Los Angeles FC will be wanting an immediate response after being beaten in their most recent outing, and they will believe that a derby victory is an ideal way to achieve that. LA Galaxy will be sure to provide a stern test for them though as they have been impressive themselves as of late, but with the home advantage against them this could be a tough task. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 53.2%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 24.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
53.2% (-3.055 -3.06) 22.78% (0.885 0.88) 24.01% (2.163 2.16)
Both teams to score 58% (-0.216 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.95% (-1.591 -1.59)42.04% (1.585 1.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.55% (-1.617 -1.62)64.44% (1.61 1.61)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19% (-1.562 -1.56)15.81% (1.556 1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.02% (-2.956 -2.96)44.97% (2.948 2.95)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.89% (0.99799999999999 1)31.1% (-1.005 -1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.57% (1.151 1.15)67.43% (-1.159 -1.16)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 53.2%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 24.01%
    Draw 22.78%
Los Angeles FCDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-0 @ 9.07% (0.155 0.16)
2-0 @ 8.37% (-0.32 -0.32)
3-1 @ 6.01% (-0.401 -0.4)
3-0 @ 5.14% (-0.496 -0.5)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.132 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.351 -0.35)
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.375 -0.38)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.156 -0.16)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.194 -0.19)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 53.2%
1-1 @ 10.59% (0.47 0.47)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.341 0.34)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.78%
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.432 0.43)
0-1 @ 5.74% (0.543 0.54)
0-2 @ 3.35% (0.4 0.4)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.229 0.23)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.099 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.187 0.19)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 24.01%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs LA Galaxy

Los Angeles FC
71.4%
Draw
22.9%
Los Angeles Galaxy
5.7%
35
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 12.30am
LA Galaxy
2-1
Los Angeles
Hernandez (13'), Coulibaly (31')
Araujo (37'), Coulibaly (63'), Williams (70'), Costa (85'), Leerdam (85'), Alvarez (89'), Hernandez (90+3')
Arango (79')
Hollingshead (49'), Murillo (90+4'), Arango (90+10')
Oct 4, 2021 1am
LA Galaxy
1-1
Los Angeles
Grandsir (19')
Araujo (10'), Grandsir (18'), DePuy (30')
Fall (11')
Edwards (22'), Crisostomo (44')
Aug 29, 2021 12am
Los Angeles
3-3
LA Galaxy
Arango (44' pen.), Rodriguez (58', 66')
Cifuentes (14')
Joveljic (20', 64'), Cabral (86')
dos Santos (35'), Joveljic (64'), Coulibaly (76'), Cabral (87')
May 9, 2021 1am
LA Galaxy
2-1
Los Angeles
Hernandez (11'), Dos Santos (79')
Villafana (20'), Saldana (42'), Hernandez (44'), dos Santos (80'), Harvey (83'), Araujo (90+2')
Rossi (62')
Blackmon (82')
Oct 25, 2020 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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