| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Minnesota United | 21 | 4 | 31 |
| 3 | Nashville SC | 20 | 1 | 30 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 20 | -1 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 15 | 39 |
| 2 | Minnesota United | 21 | 4 | 31 |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 20 | -1 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 41.77% ( | 25.63% ( | 32.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.74% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.8% ( | 49.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.74% ( | 71.26% ( |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% ( | 23.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.64% ( | 57.36% ( |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.45% | 28.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.66% ( | 64.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 8.84% 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 3-1 @ 4.28% ( 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.04% Total : 41.77% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 8.37% 1-2 @ 7.62% 0-2 @ 5.25% ( 1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.59% |