We said: Charlotte FC 1-1 Nashville SC
Both Charlotte and Nashville will view Sunday's fixture as a winnable game, but the visitors will head into this contest as the slight favourites given their position in the table.
However, considering the inconsistent form of both teams, a score draw could be on the cards in North Carolina.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.