| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Dallas | 18 | 7 | 27 |
| 5 | Nashville SC | 18 | 3 | 27 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 17 | 7 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlotte FC | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 41.83% ( | 27.48% ( | 30.69% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.86% ( | 57.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.99% ( | 78.01% ( |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.07% ( | 26.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.73% ( | 62.27% ( |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.1% ( | 33.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.43% ( | 70.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlotte FC | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 11.97% ( 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 2-0 @ 7.86% ( 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 3-0 @ 3.44% ( 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 4-0 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2% Total : 41.83% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0-0 @ 9.13% ( 2-2 @ 4.6% ( Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.47% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0-2 @ 5.34% ( 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 2-3 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 30.69% |