Major League Soccer

Jul 4, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Nissan Stadium

Nashville
2 - 2
Portland

Davis (19'), Williams (57')
Zimmerman (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Asprilla (64' pen.), Niezgoda (70')
Ayala (29'), McGraw (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	Portland Timbers
55.14% ( 1.32)	23.62% ( -0.36)	21.23% ( -0.97)

Both teams to score 51.64% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.24% (

0.4)

48.75% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.13% (

0.36)

70.86% (

-0.36)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.45% (

0.64)

17.54% (

-0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.92% (

1.1)

48.07% (

-1.1)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.62% (

-0.72)

37.37% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.84% (

-0.71)

74.15% (

0.71)

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 55.14%

Portland Timbers 21.23%

Draw 23.62%

Nashville SC	Draw	Portland Timbers
1-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.62% Total : 55.14%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.62%	0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.64% Total : 21.23%