Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2022 1.30am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sean Davis 19' goal
  • Duncan Williams 57' goal
  • Walker Zimmerman 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Ayala 29'
  • yellowcard Zac McGraw 50'
  • goal Dairon Asprilla 64'
  • goal Jaroslaw Niezgoda 70'

Nashville SC vs Portland Timbers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 25, 2022 10.00pm
DC United 1 - 3 Nashville
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Duncan Williams

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 30, 2022 3.30am
Portland 2 - 1 Houston
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Jaroslaw Niezgoda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Nashville SC 55.14% (+1.33)
Draw 23.62% (-0.36)
Portland Timbers 21.23% (-0.97)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.64% (-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.24% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 48.75% (-0.41)
Over 3.5 29.13% (+0.37)
Under 3.5 70.86% (-0.37)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5 82.45% (+0.64)
Under 0.5 17.54% (-0.64)
Over 1.5 51.92% (+1.10)
Under 1.5 48.07% (-1.11)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5 62.62% (-0.72)
Under 0.5 37.37% (+0.72)
Over 1.5 25.84% (-0.72)
Under 1.5 74.15% (+0.71)

Score analysis

Nashville SC 55.14%
Draw 23.62%
Portland Timbers 21.23%
Nashville SC
1-0 @ 11.41% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 9.93% (+0.25)
2-1 @ 9.77% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 5.76% (+0.26)
3-1 @ 5.67% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 2.79% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.51% (+0.17)
4-1 @ 2.47% (+0.12)
4-2 @ 1.22% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 55.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 6.56% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.07)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 23.62%
Portland Timbers
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.24)
1-2 @ 5.53% (-0.20)
0-2 @ 3.18% (-0.19)
1-3 @ 1.81% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.09)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 21.23%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer Gameweek 28
Jul 6, 2020 12.00am
Major League Soccer Gameweek 4
Mar 8, 2020 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Larrys Mabiala 5' yellowcard
  • Diego Valeri 12' goal
  • Diego Chara 84' yellowcard
  • Chris Duvall 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Lovitz 29'