Major League Soccer

Aug 18, 2022 at 2am UK

Pizza Hut Park

Dallas
1 - 0
Philadelphia

Ferreira (34')
Antonio Martinez (62'), Ferreira (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gazdag (73'), Mbaizo (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:

Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, August 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union	25	26	48
2	CF Montreal	25	4	43
3	New York Red Bulls	25	5	37

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dallas in this match.

Result
Dallas	Draw	Philadelphia Union
46.54% ( 0.01)	26.66% ( -0.3)	26.8% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 48.46% (

1.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.13% (

1.25)

55.87% (

-1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.02% (

1.01)

76.98% (

-1.01)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.01% (

0.55)

23.99% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.77% (

0.78)

58.23% (

-0.79)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.75% (

0.93)

36.25% (

-0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.96% (

0.93)

73.04% (

-0.93)

Score Analysis

Dallas 46.54%

Philadelphia Union 26.8%

Draw 26.65%

Dallas	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 46.54%	1-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.89% Total : 26.8%