Major League Soccer

Jul 24, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Florida Citrus Bowl

Orlando City
0 - 1
Philadelphia

Kara (31'), Moutinho (37'), Araujo (63')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gazdag (39')
Andres Martinez (8'), Carranza (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:

Last Game: Philadelphia 2-1 New England
Sunday, July 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union	21	18	39
2	New York Red Bulls	21	6	33
3	CF Montreal	20	1	32

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Philadelphia Union
40.19% ( 0.01)	26.67% ( 0)	33.14% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 51.54% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.61% (

-0.01)

53.38% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.08% (

-0)

74.92% (

0.01)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.92% (

26.08% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.87% (

61.13% (

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.73% (

-0.01)

30.27% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.55% (

-0.01)

66.44% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 40.19%

Philadelphia Union 33.14%

Draw 26.66%

Orlando City	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.28% Total : 40.19%	1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 7.89% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.66%	0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.3% Total : 33.14%