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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Jul 24, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
Philadelphia Union

Orlando City
0 - 1
Philadelphia


Kara (31'), Moutinho (37'), Araujo (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gazdag (39')
Andres Martinez (8'), Carranza (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 1-3 Arsenal
Thursday, July 21 at 1.30am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Orlando City 1-2 Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union head into the game on a better run of results and will back themselves to come away with all three points. While we expect Orlando City to put up a good fight, we are tipping the away side to emerge victorious at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawPhiladelphia Union
40.19% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 26.67% (0.0010000000000012 0) 33.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.54% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)53.38% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.08% (-0.004999999999999 -0)74.92% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.08% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.87% (0.00099999999999767 0)61.13% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)30.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)66.44% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 40.19%
    Philadelphia Union 33.14%
    Draw 26.66%
Orlando CityDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.52% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 40.19%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 7.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 9.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 33.14%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Philadelphia

Orlando City
18.2%
Draw
6.1%
Philadelphia Union
75.8%
33
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2021 9pm
Philadelphia
3-1
Orlando City
Wagner (37'), Przybylko (61', 89' pen.)
Flach (53')
Ruan (57')
Schlegel (33'), Ruan (59'), Michel (75'), Gallese (80'), Jansson (80'), Aguilera (86')
Carlos (88')
Jul 23, 2021 1.25am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami94321914515
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls8431117415
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
4Columbus Crew8341107313
5FC CincinnatiCincinnati833287112
6Atlanta UnitedAtlanta7322127511
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC832398111
8DC United82421212010
9CF MontrealMontreal73131014-410
10Toronto8314812-410
11Chicago Fire82331114-39
12New York City FCNY City822479-28
13Orlando City7223813-58
14Nashville SCNashville7142813-57
15New England RevolutionNew England7115513-84

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy84311712515
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver7412159613
3Houston DynamoHouston741297213
4Real Salt LakeSalt Lake8332118312
5Colorado RapidsColorado83321312112
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles83231312111
7St Louis City82511211111
8Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd7322109111
9Sporting Kansas CityKansas82421413110
10Portland TimbersPortland8233161609
11Austin FCAustin82331113-29
12Seattle SoundersSeattle71339726
13Dallas7124610-45
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes81071020-103


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