Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.