Major League Soccer

Jul 17, 2022 at 12.30am UK

PPL Park

Philadelphia
2 - 1
New England

Uhre (75'), Gazdag (79' pen.)
Bedoya (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bou (61', 61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:

Last Game: Inter Miami 1-2 Philadelphia
Thursday, July 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union	20	17	36
2	New York Red Bulls	20	7	33
3	CF Montreal	19	0	29

New England Revolution

Last Six:

Last Game: NY City 4-2 New England
Saturday, July 9 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Columbus Crew	19	3	26
5	New England Revolution	19	-1	25
6	Houston Dynamo	20	-3	22

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 22.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Philadelphia Union in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Philadelphia Union.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	New England Revolution
53.76% ( -0.68)	23.5% ( 0.09)	22.73% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 54% (

0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.39% (

0.25)

46.61% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.12% (

0.23)

68.88% (

-0.24)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.74% (

-0.16)

17.26% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.42% (

-0.27)

47.58% (

0.27)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.26% (

0.69)

34.74% (

-0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.53% (

0.72)

71.47% (

-0.72)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 53.76%

New England Revolution 22.73%

Draw 23.5%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	New England Revolution
1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.79% Total : 53.76%	1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.5%	0-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.07% Total : 22.73%