Major League Soccer

Jul 9, 2022 at 6pm UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
4 - 2
New England

Magno (10' pen.), Castellanos (44' pen., 82'), Pereira (49')
Castellanos (36'), Haak (70')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Bou (18', 77')
Gil (84')
Farrell (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

Last Six:

Last Game: New England 2-2 Cincinnati
Monday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	CF Montreal	18	1	29
4	New England Revolution	18	1	25
5	Columbus Crew	17	2	22

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 18.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	New England Revolution
60.88% ( -0.03)	20.79% ( 0.01)	18.33% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 56.13% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.56% (

-0.04)

40.44% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.18% (

-0.04)

62.82% (

0.04)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.15% (

-0.02)

12.85% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.79% (

-0.04)

39.21% (

0.04)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.41% (

-0)

35.59% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.64% (

-0)

72.36% (

Score Analysis

New York City FC 60.88%

New England Revolution 18.33%

Draw 20.79%

New York City FC	Draw	New England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.49% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 3.53% Total : 60.88%	1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.79%	1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.77% 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 18.33%