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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer

New England Revolution
Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
FC Cincinnati

New England
2 - 2
Cincinnati

Borrero (30'), Bou (55')
Bou (38')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kessler (41' og.), Brenner (73')
Powell (44'), Acosta (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

Last Six:
Last Game: Vancouver 0-0 New England
Monday, June 27 at 1am in Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: Cincinnati 4-4 NY City
Thursday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 14.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawFC Cincinnati
66.24% (-1.046 -1.05)19.43% (0.524 0.52)14.33% (0.52 0.52)
Both teams to score 51.68% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.14% (-1.252 -1.25)41.86% (1.251 1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.73% (-1.274 -1.27)64.26% (1.271 1.27)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.22% (-0.639 -0.64)11.77% (0.638 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.04% (-1.385 -1.39)36.96% (1.382 1.38)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.57% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)41.43% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.06% (-0.038 -0.04)77.93% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 66.23%
    FC Cincinnati 14.33%
    Draw 19.43%
New England RevolutionDrawFC Cincinnati
2-0 @ 11.16% (0.06 0.06)
1-0 @ 10.43% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.96% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-1 @ 7.01% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-0 @ 4.26% (-0.201 -0.2)
4-1 @ 3.75% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.82% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.082 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.61% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 66.23%
1-1 @ 9.2% (0.271 0.27)
0-0 @ 4.88% (0.269 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.33% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.43%
0-1 @ 4.3% (0.232 0.23)
1-2 @ 4.05% (0.115 0.12)
0-2 @ 1.89% (0.1 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.19% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 14.33%

How you voted: New England vs Cincinnati

New England Revolution
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
FC Cincinnati
0.0%
7
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 12.20am
Cincinnati
2-3
New England
Vazquez (26'), Barreal (58')
Nwobodo (23')
Lletget (17'), Buksa (43'), McNamara (89')
Rivera (5'), Boateng (90+4')
Aug 22, 2021 1am
New England
4-1
Cincinnati
Buchanan (7'), Boateng (21'), Buksa (33', 61')
McNamara (68'), Buchanan (73'), Farrell (86')
Brenner (54')
May 29, 2021 8pm
Cincinnati
0-1
New England

Stanko (9'), Kubo (69')
Buksa (70')
Buchanan (33'), Kessler (66')
May 10, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
P-P
New England
Apr 12, 2020 12.30am
New England
P-P
Cincinnati