MX23RW : Friday, April 26 19:49:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Atlanta United
Austin FC
Montreal Impact
Charlotte FC
Chicago Fire
Colorado Rapids
Columbus Crew
DC United
FC Dallas
FC Cincinnati
Houston Dynamo
Inter Miami
Los Angeles FC
LA Galaxy
Minnesota United
Nashville
New England Revolution
New York City
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City
Philadelphia Union
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas
St Louis City
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Aug 7, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Cincinnati
3 - 1
Philadelphia

Vazquez (50'), Brenner (55'), Barreal (71')
Cameron (34'), Acosta (54'), Hagglund (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aaronson (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-3 Philadelphia Union

Cincinnati fans are sick of the sight of stalemates now, but most would most likely accept a draw versus the Eastern Conference leaders, whose penchant for goals should become apparent here. Carving their way through a leaky Orange and Blue backline should be an easy ask for the Union, who also have the defensive nous to end the hosts' unbeaten run at the TQL Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawPhiladelphia Union
36.03% (0.067 0.07) 25.46% (0.155 0.16) 38.51% (-0.223 -0.22)
Both teams to score 56.07% (-0.538 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.2% (-0.696 -0.7)47.8% (0.694 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.01% (-0.645 -0.65)69.99% (0.64400000000001 0.64)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.2% (-0.286 -0.29)25.8% (0.286 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.25% (-0.389 -0.39)60.75% (0.387 0.39)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.57% (-0.43300000000001 -0.43)24.43% (0.432 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.14% (-0.615 -0.62)58.86% (0.613 0.61)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 36.03%
    Philadelphia Union 38.51%
    Draw 25.45%
FC CincinnatiDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 8.54% (0.176 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.15%
2-0 @ 5.79% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.61% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 36.03%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 8.88% (0.145 0.15)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.26% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.51%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Philadelphia

FC Cincinnati
14.3%
Draw
9.5%
Philadelphia Union
76.2%
21
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-1
Cincinnati
Bedoya (17')
Burke (64')
Vazquez (39')
Medunjanin (55'), Nwobodo (57'), Hagglund (62'), Nelson (68')
Oct 31, 2021 11.30pm
Oct 10, 2021 1am
Oct 8, 2020 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-0
Cincinnati
Ilsinho (59'), Bedoya (73'), Elliott (80')
Bedoya (40'), McKenzie (66'), Mbaizo (90+3')
Sep 24, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-0
Philadelphia

Gyau (19'), Waston (47'), Medunjanin (63'), Amaya (90+4')

Bedoya (60'), Przybylko (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami105322215718
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9441139416
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati9432108215
4Columbus Crew9351129314
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
6Toronto9414912-313
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta8323139411
8New York City FCNY City932499011
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9324911-211
10CF MontrealMontreal83231216-411
11DC United92431214-210
12Orlando City82331015-59
13Chicago Fire92341118-79
14Nashville SCNashville8143916-77
15New England RevolutionNew England8116514-94

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy95312115618
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8512179816
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9432158715
4Colorado RapidsColorado94321513215
5Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd8422139414
6Houston DynamoHouston841398113
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles93331514112
8St Louis City92611514112
9Austin FCAustin93331213-112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas92521716111
11Portland TimbersPortland92431818010
12Seattle SoundersSeattle81349906
13Dallas8125712-55
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes91081324-113


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!