Major League Soccer

Aug 7, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
3 - 1
Philadelphia

Vazquez (50'), Brenner (55'), Barreal (71')
Cameron (34'), Acosta (54'), Hagglund (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Aaronson (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:

Last Game: Philadelphia 6-0 Houston
Sunday, July 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union	23	25	45
2	CF Montreal	23	3	39
3	New York Red Bulls	23	6	36

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	Philadelphia Union
36.03% ( 0.07)	25.46% ( 0.16)	38.51% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 56.07% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.2% (

-0.7)

47.8% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.01% (

-0.65)

69.99% (

0.64)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.2% (

-0.29)

25.8% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.25% (

-0.39)

60.75% (

0.39)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.57% (

-0.43)

24.43% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.14% (

-0.62)

58.86% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 36.03%

Philadelphia Union 38.51%

Draw 25.45%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.42% Total : 36.03%	1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.51%