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Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Columbus Crew Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Columbus Crew
2 - 0
Cincinnati

Camilo Hernandez (16'), Zelarayan (86' pen.)
Moreira (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hagglund (47'), Nwobodo (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 2-2 Vancouver
Thursday, July 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Columbus Crew 2-2 FC Cincinnati

Both of these sides have found themselves amongst the goals at both ends of the pitch of late, and for that reason, we are predicting for this to be an open and entertaining affair on Sunday. Although it appears that something must give between two sides on impressive unbeaten runs, because of this, we are going for a draw at the Mapfre Stadium as a result of the two in-form teams cancelling each other out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 56.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 20.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawFC Cincinnati
56.95% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 22.55% (0.0089999999999968 0.01) 20.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)45.15% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.51% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)67.49% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.38% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)15.62% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.37% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)44.63% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.94% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)36.06% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)72.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 56.94%
    FC Cincinnati 20.5%
    Draw 22.54%
Columbus CrewDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 9.9%
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.13% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 6.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 56.94%
1-1 @ 10.66%
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.54%
0-1 @ 5.75% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 20.5%

How you voted: Columbus Crew vs Cincinnati

Columbus Crew
46.7%
Draw
20.0%
FC Cincinnati
33.3%
15
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2021 11.30pm
Jul 10, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
2-2
Columbus Crew
Castillo (1'), Acosta (24')
Castillo (28'), Kubo (32'), Cameron (45+7'), Vallecilla (61'), Barreal (72'), Stanko (88')
Zelarayan (45+1'), Berry (77')
Afful (17'), Mensah (39')
Afful (42')
Oct 15, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
2-1
Columbus Crew
Kubo (17' pen.), Hagglund (49')
Gutman (7')
Santos (45' pen.)
Alashe (31'), Mensah (37'), Boateng (45+2'), Morris (90+3')
Sep 7, 2020 12.30am
Columbus Crew
3-0
Cincinnati
Santos (52'), Zardes (64', 71')
Zardes (82')

Amaya (39'), van der Werff (70'), Waston (90')
Aug 30, 2020 12.30am
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami105322215718
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9441139416
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati9432108215
4Columbus Crew9351129314
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
6Toronto9414912-313
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta8323139411
8New York City FCNY City932499011
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9324911-211
10CF MontrealMontreal83231216-411
11DC United92431214-210
12Orlando City82331015-59
13Chicago Fire92341118-79
14Nashville SCNashville8143916-77
15New England RevolutionNew England8116514-94

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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy95312115618
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8512179816
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9432158715
4Colorado RapidsColorado94321513215
5Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd8422139414
6Houston DynamoHouston841398113
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles93331514112
8St Louis City92611514112
9Austin FCAustin93331213-112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas92521716111
11Portland TimbersPortland92431818010
12Seattle SoundersSeattle81349906
13Dallas8125712-55
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes91081324-113


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