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Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Columbus Crew Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Columbus Crew
2 - 0
Cincinnati

Camilo Hernandez (16'), Zelarayan (86' pen.)
Moreira (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hagglund (47'), Nwobodo (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

Last Six:
Last Game: DC United 2-2 Columbus Crew
Thursday, July 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-2 Vancouver
Thursday, July 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 56.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 20.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawFC Cincinnati
56.95% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)22.55% (0.0089999999999968 0.01)20.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)45.15% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.51% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)67.49% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.38% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)15.62% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.37% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)44.63% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.94% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)36.06% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)72.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 56.94%
    FC Cincinnati 20.5%
    Draw 22.54%
Columbus CrewDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 9.9%
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.13% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 6.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 56.94%
1-1 @ 10.66%
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.54%
0-1 @ 5.75% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 20.5%

How you voted: Columbus Crew vs Cincinnati

Columbus Crew
46.7%
Draw
20.0%
FC Cincinnati
33.3%
15
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2021 11.30pm
Columbus Crew
3-2
Cincinnati
Zelarayan (45'), Berry (81', 83')
Matarrita (45+3'), Atanga (75')
Jul 10, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
2-2
Columbus Crew
Castillo (1'), Acosta (24')
Castillo (28'), Kubo (32'), Cameron (45+7'), Vallecilla (61'), Barreal (72'), Stanko (88')
Zelarayan (45+1'), Berry (77')
Afful (17'), Mensah (39')
Afful (42')
Oct 15, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
2-1
Columbus Crew
Kubo (17' pen.), Hagglund (49')
Gutman (7')
Santos (45' pen.)
Alashe (31'), Mensah (37'), Boateng (45+2'), Morris (90+3')
Sep 7, 2020 12.30am
Columbus Crew
3-0
Cincinnati
Santos (52'), Zardes (64', 71')
Zardes (82')

Amaya (39'), van der Werff (70'), Waston (90')
Aug 30, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-0
Columbus Crew

van der Werff (4'), Gyau (11'), Kubo (88')

Artur (43'), Williams (74')