| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 20 | 5 | 29 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 21 | 0 | 27 |
| 8 | New England Revolution | 20 | -2 | 25 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Minnesota United | 21 | 4 | 31 |
| 4 | Nashville SC | 21 | 0 | 30 |
| 5 | Dallas | 21 | 6 | 29 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 37.56% ( | 27.03% ( | 35.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.5% ( | 54.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.15% ( | 75.85% ( |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.92% ( | 28.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.26% ( | 63.74% ( |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.63% ( | 29.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.65% ( | 65.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 2-0 @ 6.65% ( 3-1 @ 3.45% ( 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 4-1 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 37.56% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 2-2 @ 4.99% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 10.1% ( 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0-2 @ 6.19% ( 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 1-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 35.41% |