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Major League Soccer

Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Jul 31, 2022 at 1am UK
New Fort Lauderdale Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Inter Miami
4 - 4
Cincinnati

Higuain (23', 37', 45+5' pen.), McVey (90+7')
Vassilev (60')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Brenner (28', 40'), Vazquez (81', 86')
Cameron (21'), Barreal (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

Last Six:
Last Game: NY City 2-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 24 at 12am in Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, July 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawFC Cincinnati
38.38% (-0.283 -0.28)25.91% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)35.71% (0.285 0.29)
Both teams to score 54.49% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.17% (0.035999999999994 0.04)49.82% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.17% (0.033999999999999 0.03)71.82% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)25.42% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75% (-0.186 -0.19)60.24% (0.189 0.19)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.06% (0.187 0.19)26.93% (-0.185 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.73% (0.244 0.24)62.26% (-0.241 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 38.38%
    FC Cincinnati 35.71%
    Draw 25.91%
Inter MiamiDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.42% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.93% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.38%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.98% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.07% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.89% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.58% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 35.71%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Cincinnati

Inter Miami
54.5%
Draw
27.3%
FC Cincinnati
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
Cincinnati
3-1
Inter Miami
Matarrita (18'), Vazquez (24', 82')
Matarrita (33'), Moreno (56'), Kann (90+1')
Higuain (30' pen.)
Mo (47'), Gregore (53'), Lowe (78')
Oct 24, 2021 1am
Inter Miami
5-1
Cincinnati
Higuain (6'), Higuain (53'), Vassilev (69'), Morgan (75'), Carranza (85')
Matuidi (47')
Vazquez (21')
Blackett (44')
Cruz (90+6')
Sep 5, 2021 1am
Cincinnati
0-1
Inter Miami
Shea (90')
Shea (18'), Gregore (62'), Figal (69'), Matuidi (73')
May 16, 2021 9pm
Cincinnati
2-3
Inter Miami
Martin Barreal (59'), Hagglund (83')
Matarrita (14'), Harris (40'), Gustavo Vallecilla Godoy (41'), Cruz (66'), Cameron (70')
Shea (7'), Higuain (38', 85')
Guediri (23'), Gregore (88'), Gonzalez Pirez (88')
Nov 8, 2020 8.30pm
Inter Miami
2-1
Cincinnati
Ambrose (19'), Gonzalez Pirez (23')
Reyes (62')
Reyes (88')
Gyau (66')
Gyau (4'), Hagglund (21')