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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Jul 31, 2022 at 1am UK
New Fort Lauderdale Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Inter Miami
4 - 4
Cincinnati

Higuain (23', 37', 45+5' pen.), McVey (90+7')
Vassilev (60')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Brenner (28', 40'), Vazquez (81', 86')
Cameron (21'), Barreal (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 2-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 24 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, July 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 2-1 FC Cincinnati

Inter Miami return home where they will be looking to restore some pride following their humbling defeat at the hands of Barcelona. They have won four of their last five home matches in the league and we are backing them to continue this fine run and claim all three points against a floundering Cincinnati side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawFC Cincinnati
38.38% (-0.283 -0.28) 25.91% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 35.71% (0.285 0.29)
Both teams to score 54.49% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.17% (0.035999999999994 0.04)49.82% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.17% (0.033999999999999 0.03)71.82% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)25.42% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75% (-0.186 -0.19)60.24% (0.189 0.19)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.06% (0.187 0.19)26.93% (-0.185 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.73% (0.244 0.24)62.26% (-0.241 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 38.38%
    FC Cincinnati 35.71%
    Draw 25.91%
Inter MiamiDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.42% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.93% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.38%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.98% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.07% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.89% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.58% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 35.71%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Cincinnati

Inter Miami
54.5%
Draw
27.3%
FC Cincinnati
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
Cincinnati
3-1
Inter Miami
Matarrita (18'), Vazquez (24', 82')
Matarrita (33'), Moreno (56'), Kann (90+1')
Higuain (30' pen.)
Mo (47'), Gregore (53'), Lowe (78')
Oct 24, 2021 1am
Inter Miami
5-1
Cincinnati
Higuain (6'), Higuain (53'), Vassilev (69'), Morgan (75'), Carranza (85')
Matuidi (47')
Vazquez (21')
Blackett (44')
Cruz (90+6')
Sep 5, 2021 1am
Cincinnati
0-1
Inter Miami
Shea (90')
Shea (18'), Gregore (62'), Figal (69'), Matuidi (73')
May 16, 2021 9pm
Cincinnati
2-3
Inter Miami
Martin Barreal (59'), Hagglund (83')
Matarrita (14'), Harris (40'), Gustavo Vallecilla Godoy (41'), Cruz (66'), Cameron (70')
Shea (7'), Higuain (38', 85')
Guediri (23'), Gregore (88'), Gonzalez Pirez (88')
Nov 8, 2020 8.30pm
Inter Miami
2-1
Cincinnati
Ambrose (19'), Gonzalez Pirez (23')
Reyes (62')
Reyes (88')
Gyau (66')
Gyau (4'), Hagglund (21')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami105322215718
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9441139416
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati9432108215
4Columbus Crew9351129314
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
6Toronto9414912-313
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta8323139411
8New York City FCNY City932499011
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9324911-211
10CF MontrealMontreal83231216-411
11DC United92431214-210
12Orlando City82331015-59
13Chicago Fire92341118-79
14Nashville SCNashville8143916-77
15New England RevolutionNew England8116514-94

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy95312115618
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8512179816
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9432158715
4Colorado RapidsColorado94321513215
5Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd8422139414
6Houston DynamoHouston841398113
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles93331514112
8St Louis City92611514112
9Austin FCAustin93331213-112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas92521716111
11Portland TimbersPortland92431818010
12Seattle SoundersSeattle81349906
13Dallas8125712-55
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes91081324-113


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