Major League Soccer
Jul 24, 2022 12.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Maximiliano Moralez 12' goal
  • Alfredo Morales 14' yellowcard
  • Heber 75' goal

New York City FC vs Inter Miami - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 17, 2022 10.00pm
NY Red Bulls 0 - 1 NY City
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Valentin Castellanos

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 17, 2022 2.22am
Inter Miami 3 - 2 Charlotte FC
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Gonzalo Higuain

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 74.12%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 9.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.33%) and 3-0 (10.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for New York City FC in this match.

Result

New York City FC 74.12% (-0.02)
Draw 16.53% (+0.01)
Inter Miami 9.35% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.14% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.2% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 41.8% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 35.8% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 64.2% (+0.04)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 90.27% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 9.73% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 67.6% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 32.4% (+0.03)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 50.01% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 49.99% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 15.35% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 84.65% (+0.02)

Score analysis

New York City FC 74.11%
Draw 16.53%
Inter Miami 9.35%
New York City FC
2-0 @ 13.2% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 11.33% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 9.15%
3-1 @ 7.11% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 5.97% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.14% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.78% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.93% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 74.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.86% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.86% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 16.53%
Inter Miami
0-1 @ 3.37% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 2.72%
0-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 9.35%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer Gameweek 44
Oct 30, 2021 6.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Brek Shea 29' yellowcard
  • Gregore 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Jorge Figal 56' goal
  • Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 81' yellowcard
  • goal Valentin Castellanos 33'
  • yellowcard Alexander Callens 52'
  • yellowcard Jesus Medina 57'
  • goal Valentin Castellanos 60'
  • yellowcard Ronny Deila 76'
  • goal Talles Magno 83'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 24
Aug 15, 2021 1.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • M. Meineche 10' yellowcard
  • Valentin Castellanos 21' goal
  • Valentin Castellanos 45'+1' goal
  • Keaton Parks 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gregore 41'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Leerdam 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Kieran Gibbs 54'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 14
Oct 4, 2020 1.00am
2
3
HT : 2 3
FT
  • Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 25' yellowcard
  • Lewis Morgan 27' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 38' goal
  • Wil Trapp 47' yellowcard
  • Matias Pellegrini 72' yellowcard
  • goal Alexandru Mitrita 4'
  • goal Anton Tinnerholm 35'
  • goal Alexandru Mitrita 43'
  • yellowcard Sebastien Ibeagha 75'
  • yellowcard Maxime Chanot 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Gary Mackay-Steven 90'+2'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 41
Sep 17, 2020 12.00am
Major League Soccer Gameweek 30
Aug 19, 2020 1.00am
Major League Soccer
Jul 20, 2020 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex Field 17
  • Juan Agudelo 19' yellowcard
  • Jorge Figal 41' yellowcard
  • Juan Agudelo 90' redcard
  • yellowcard James Sands 23'
  • yellowcard Maxime Chanot 39'
  • yellowcard Anton Tinnerholm 45'+3'
  • goal Ismael Tajouri 64'