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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer

New York City
Major League Soccer
Jul 24, 2022 at 12am UK
Yankee Stadium
Inter Miami

NY City
2 - 0
Inter Miami

Moralez (12'), Heber (75')
Morales (14')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

Last Six:
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-1 NY City
Sunday, July 17 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Inter Miami

Last Six:
Last Game: Inter Miami 0-6 Barcelona
Wednesday, July 20 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 74.12%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 9.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.33%) and 3-0 (10.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for New York City FC in this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawInter Miami
74.12% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)16.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)9.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Both teams to score 45.14% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.2% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)41.8% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)64.2% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.27% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)9.73% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.6% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)32.4% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.01% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)49.99% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.35% (-0.016 -0.02)84.65% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 74.11%
    Inter Miami 9.35%
    Draw 16.53%
New York City FCDrawInter Miami
2-0 @ 13.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.33% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 9.15%
3-1 @ 7.11% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 5.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 4.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 2.78% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 74.11%
1-1 @ 7.86% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.86% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 16.53%
0-1 @ 3.37% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-2 @ 2.72%
0-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 9.35%

How you voted: NY City vs Inter Miami

New York City FC
87.9%
Draw
6.1%
Inter Miami
6.1%
33
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 6.30pm
Inter Miami
1-3
NY City
Figal (56')
Shea (29'), Gregore (45+4'), Gonzalez Pirez (81')
Castellanos (33', 60'), Magno (83')
Callens (52'), Medina (57'), Deila (76')
Aug 15, 2021 1am
NY City
2-0
Inter Miami
Castellanos (21', 45+1' pen.)
Meineche (10'), Parks (66')

Gregore (41'), Leerdam (45+1'), Gibbs (54')
Oct 4, 2020 1am
Inter Miami
2-3
NY City
Morgan (27', 38')
Gonzalez Pirez (25'), Trapp (47'), Pellegrini (72')
Mitrita (4', 43'), Tinnerholm (35')
Ibeagha (75'), Chanot (90+1'), Mackay-Steven (90+2')
Sep 17, 2020 12am
NY City
P-P
Inter Miami
Aug 19, 2020 1am
Inter Miami
P-P
NY City