| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 22 | 19 | 42 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 22 | 7 | 36 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 21 | 2 | 35 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Chicago Fire | 22 | -4 | 26 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 22 | -3 | 25 |
| 8 | Toronto | 22 | -9 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.48%. A draw has a probability of 22.6% and a win for Houston Dynamo has a probability of 18.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it is 0-1 (5.83%).
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 58.48% ( | 22.56% ( | 18.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.38% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.69% ( | 47.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.46% ( | 69.54% ( |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.14% ( | 15.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.93% ( | 45.06% ( |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.06% ( | 38.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.34% ( | 75.66% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% ( 2-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 3-0 @ 6.43% ( 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 4-0 @ 2.96% ( 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 5-0 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.24% Total : 58.47% | 1-1 @ 10.72% 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 2-2 @ 4.66% ( Other @ 1% Total : 22.56% | 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 1-2 @ 5.06% ( 0-2 @ 2.75% ( 1-3 @ 1.59% ( 2-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 18.96% |