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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2022 at 2.30am UK
Buck Shaw Stadium
Houston Dynamo

Earthquakes
1 - 2
Houston

Yueill (53')
Monteiro (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ferreira (71'), Ulfarsson (76')
Parker (28'), Vera (43'), Picault (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 62.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 16.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 1-2 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawHouston Dynamo
62.97% (0.0020000000000024 0)20.06% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)16.97% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 55.9% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.58% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)39.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)61.75%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.05% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)11.94% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.67% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)37.32% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.48% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)36.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)73.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 62.97%
    Houston Dynamo 16.97%
    Draw 20.06%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.92%
2-0 @ 9.85%
1-0 @ 9.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.03%
3-0 @ 6.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 3.73%
4-0 @ 3.71%
3-2 @ 3.54%
4-2 @ 1.88%
5-1 @ 1.59%
5-0 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 62.97%
1-1 @ 9.34%
2-2 @ 5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.36%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.06%
1-2 @ 4.7% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 4.39%
0-2 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 16.97%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Houston

San Jose Earthquakes
73.7%
Draw
21.1%
Houston Dynamo
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 1.30am
Houston
4-3
Earthquakes
Ferreira (8', 68'), Quintero (43'), Hadebe (57')
Quintero (18'), Ferreira (27'), Hadebe (58'), Picault (63'), Ceren (89'), Bartlow (90+2')
Ebobisse (25', 28'), Thompson (77')
Marie (20'), Lopez (22'), Yueill (90+1')
Jul 25, 2021 3am
Earthquakes
1-1
Houston
Valentin (45+5' og.)
Cardoso (70')
Fierro (90+7')
Vera (40')
Picault (53'), Parker (57'), Vera (68'), Urruti (90+8')
Apr 17, 2021 1am
Houston
2-1
Earthquakes
Rodriguez (39'), Urruti (56')
Picault (29'), Vera (41'), Jones (90+4')
Marie (74')
Lopez (51'), Remedi (52'), Rios (87')
Aug 10, 2020 2am
May 3, 2020 9pm