| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 20 | 0 | 24 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 19 | -6 | 22 |
| 9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Chicago Fire | 21 | -6 | 23 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 20 | -3 | 22 |
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City | 21 | -12 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 62.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 16.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 1-2 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 62.97% ( | 20.06% ( | 16.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.58% ( | 39.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.24% ( | 61.75% |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.05% ( | 11.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.67% ( | 37.32% ( |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.48% ( | 36.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.69% ( | 73.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.85% 1-0 @ 9.27% ( 3-1 @ 7.03% 3-0 @ 6.97% ( 4-1 @ 3.73% 4-0 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 3.54% 4-2 @ 1.88% 5-1 @ 1.59% 5-0 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 3.91% Total : 62.97% | 1-1 @ 9.34% 2-2 @ 5% ( 0-0 @ 4.36% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.06% | 1-2 @ 4.7% ( 0-1 @ 4.39% 0-2 @ 2.21% ( 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 1-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.4% Total : 16.97% |