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Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2022 at 3am UK
The Home Depot Center
San Jose Earthquakes

LA Galaxy
2 - 3
Earthquakes

Joveljic (48', 88')
Grandsir (33')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Espinoza (13' pen.), Ebobisse (14'), Lopez (40')
Lopez (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes

Even though LA Galaxy have been in a difficult patch in terms of form recently, this game could work as the ideal fixture for them to get back to winning ways. San Jose Earthquakes have been struggling throughout the season, particularly when it comes to conceding goals, which is something that should allow the hosts to pick up three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 19.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
59.4% (0.0040000000000049 0) 21.08% (0.004999999999999 0) 19.51% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.31% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.08% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)39.92% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.72% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)62.28% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.88% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)13.11% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.24% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)39.75% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.96% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)34.04% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.27% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)70.72% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 59.4%
    San Jose Earthquakes 19.51%
    Draw 21.08%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.07% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 6.24% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.41% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 3.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 59.4%
1-1 @ 9.77% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.08%
1-2 @ 5.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 4.81% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 2.59%
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 19.51%

How you voted: LA Galaxy vs Earthquakes

Los Angeles Galaxy
100%
Draw
0.0%
San Jose Earthquakes
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2021 3.30am
LA Galaxy
1-2
Earthquakes
Vazquez (65')
Cabral (23'), dos Santos (69')
Hamalainen (71' og.), Ebobisse (52')
Abecasis (11'), Remedi (41'), Marcinkowski (86')
Jun 27, 2021 3am
Earthquakes
1-3
LA Galaxy
Cowell (82')
Judson (6'), Remedi (66'), Lopez (90')
Hernandez (11', 50'), Jungwirth (70' og.)
Bond (59')
May 30, 2021 12am
Oct 15, 2020 3.30am
LA Galaxy
0-4
Earthquakes

Insua (48'), Traore (61')
Lima (44', 90+3'), Rios (52'), Thompson (76')
Oct 4, 2020 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-1
LA Galaxy
Lopez (42'), Rios (82' pen.)
Fierro (45'), Yueill (63'), Marcinkowski (90+4')
Lletget (4')
DePuy (12'), Kitchen (31'), dos Santos (45+1'), Corona (60')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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