Major League Soccer

Jul 14, 2022 at 3am UK

The Home Depot Center

LA Galaxy
2 - 3
Earthquakes

Joveljic (48', 88')
Grandsir (33')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Espinoza (13' pen.), Ebobisse (14'), Lopez (40')
Lopez (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

Last Six:

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 LA Galaxy
Saturday, July 9 at 3am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Dallas	19	7	28
3	Los Angeles Galaxy	18	3	27
4	Seattle Sounders	18	4	26

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 19.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
59.4% ( 0)	21.08% ( 0)	19.51% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.31% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.08% (

-0.05)

39.92% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.72% (

-0.05)

62.28% (

0.04)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.88% (

-0.01)

13.11% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.24% (

-0.02)

39.75% (

0.02)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.96% (

-0.04)

34.04% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.27% (

-0.04)

70.72% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 59.4%

San Jose Earthquakes 19.51%

Draw 21.08%

Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.72% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.24% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.17% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.52% Total : 59.4%	1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.08%	1-2 @ 5.27% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.81% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 19.51%