Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 57.73% | 22.12% | 20.15% |
| Both teams to score 54.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.29% | 43.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.9% | 66.1% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.13% | 14.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.78% | 43.22% |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.41% | 35.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.65% | 72.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.61% 3-1 @ 6.31% 3-0 @ 6.1% 3-2 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 3% 4-0 @ 2.91% 4-2 @ 1.55% 5-1 @ 1.15% 5-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.72% Total : 57.73% | 1-1 @ 10.42% 0-0 @ 5.29% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.12% | 0-1 @ 5.47% 1-2 @ 5.38% 0-2 @ 2.83% 1-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.88% Total : 20.15% |