Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.