Major League Soccer

Jul 10, 2022 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
2 - 2
Earthquakes

Kerr (71'), Osorio (75')
Kerr (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ebobisse (26'), Skahan (90+2')
Yueill (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Toronto	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
43.91% ( -0)	23.55% ( -0)	32.53% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 62.01% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.29% (

39.7% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.94% (

62.05% (

-0)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.57%

18.42% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.41% (

-0)

49.59%

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.01% (

23.99% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.76% (

58.23% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Toronto 43.91%

San Jose Earthquakes 32.53%

Draw 23.55%

Toronto	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.03% 1-0 @ 7.48% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.09% 3-2 @ 3.63% 3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.6% Total : 43.91%	1-1 @ 10.67% 2-2 @ 6.44% 0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.55%	1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.31% 0-2 @ 4.5% 1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.88% Total : 32.53%