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Major League Soccer
Jul 3, 2022 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Seattle Sounders
Toronto
0 - 2
Seattle

Salcedo (31')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Teves (39'), Montero (60')
Chu (14'), Tolo (34'), Lodeiro (70'), Leyva (90+2')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Columbus Crew
Thursday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-1 Seattle Sounders

The energy and excitement with the newcomers in Toronto should provide the home side with a nice burst of momentum heading into this encounter, even though neither Insigne nor Criscito will be eligible to play until next week at the earliest. Seattle were poor against CF Montreal in mid-week, losing 2-1, but they rarely drop consecutive encounters, so we expect them to come out more determined while doing enough to earn a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawSeattle Sounders
39.97% (1.324 1.32) 25.38% (0.035 0.04) 34.64% (-1.357 -1.36)
Both teams to score 56.14% (-0.315 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.36% (-0.321 -0.32)47.64% (0.326 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.16% (-0.3 -0.3)69.84% (0.30199999999999 0.3)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (0.542 0.54)23.6% (-0.539 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.33% (0.774 0.77)57.67% (-0.771 -0.77)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.47% (-0.93900000000001 -0.94)26.53% (0.942 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.27% (-1.264 -1.26)61.73% (1.266 1.27)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 39.98%
    Seattle Sounders 34.64%
    Draw 25.38%
TorontoDrawSeattle Sounders
1-0 @ 9.04% (0.261 0.26)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.156 0.16)
2-0 @ 6.53% (0.288 0.29)
3-1 @ 4.17% (0.139 0.14)
3-0 @ 3.14% (0.186 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.073 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.083 0.08)
4-2 @ 1% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 39.98%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.085 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.31% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-2 @ 7.96% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.51% (-0.226 -0.23)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 34.64%

How you voted: Toronto vs Seattle

Toronto
42.3%
Draw
25.0%
Seattle Sounders
32.7%
52
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2020 12am
Nov 10, 2019 8pm
Seattle
3-1
Toronto
Leerdam (57'), Rodriguez (76'), Ruidiaz (90')
Ruidiaz (91')
Altidore (93')
Pozuelo (72')
Apr 13, 2019 9pm
Seattle
3-2
Toronto
Bruin (24', 66'), Roldan (68')
Ki-hee (61'), Lodeiro (81'), Rodriguez (88')
Altidore (11', 70')
May 10, 2018 12.30am
Toronto
1-2
Seattle
Osorio (40')
Bradley (81'), Giovinco (90')
Bruin (25'), Bwana (54')
Alfaro (44'), Bruin (55'), Delem (88')
Dec 9, 2017 9pm
rhs 2.0
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