Major League Soccer
Jul 24, 2022 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Adam Lundqvist 8' yellowcard
  • Griffin Dorsey 59' yellowcard
  • Fabrice Picault 86' goal
  • goal Franco Fragapane 45'+2'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 72'

Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 18, 2022 2.30am
Earthquakes 1 - 2 Houston
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Sebastian Ferreira

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 17, 2022 1.00am
Minnesota Utd 2 - 0 DC United
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Emanuel Reynoso

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result

Houston Dynamo 42.27% (-0.14)
Draw 26.05% (+0.04)
Minnesota United 31.67% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.03% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.73% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 51.26% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 26.9% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 73.09% (+0.10)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5 75.95% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 24.04% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 41.69% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 58.31% (+0.17)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5 69.81% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 30.19% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 33.65% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 66.34% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Houston Dynamo 42.27%
Draw 26.05%
Minnesota United 31.67%
Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.34% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.37% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 42.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.39% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.26% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.05%
Minnesota United
0-1 @ 8.69% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 7.42% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.21% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.96% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.08% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 31.67%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer Gameweek 35
Sep 26, 2021 1.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Robin Lod 1' goal
  • Ethan Finlay 17' goal
  • Emanuel Reynoso 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Darwin Quintero 41'
  • yellowcard Samuel Junqua 72'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 28
Aug 29, 2021 1.30am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Adalberto Carrasquilla 1' goal
  • Griffin Dorsey 61' yellowcard
  • Teenage Hadebe 73' yellowcard
  • Zarek Valentin 77' yellowcard
  • goal Adrien Hunou 16'
  • goal Adrien Hunou 73'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 23
Aug 8, 2021 1.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Robin Lod 14' goal
  • Brent Kallman 71' goal
  • yellowcard Memo Rodriguez 21'
  • yellowcard Samuel Junqua 21'
  • yellowcard Derrick Jones 62'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 20
Oct 19, 2020 1.00am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Field
  • Ethan Finlay 11' goal
  • Ethan Finlay 30' goal
  • Jacori Hayes 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Lundqvist 10'
  • goal Memo Rodriguez 59'
  • goal Niko Hansen 84'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 45
Oct 4, 2020 9.30pm
Major League Soccer Gameweek 11
Sep 20, 2020 1.00am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Matias Vera 44' yellowcard
  • Darwin Quintero 58' goal
  • Aljaz Struna 67' yellowcard
  • Maynor Figueroa 69' goal
  • Memo Rodriguez 77' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Molino 11'
  • yellowcard Mason Toye 40'
  • goal Robin Lod 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Michael Boxall 81'
  • redcard Jan Gregus 88'