Major League Soccer

Jul 24, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Robertson Stadium

Houston
1 - 2
Minnesota Utd

Picault (86')
Lundqvist (8'), Dorsey (59')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Fragapane (45+2'), Hlongwane (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Minnesota United
42.27% ( -0.14)	26.05% ( 0.04)	31.67% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 53.03% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.73% (

-0.12)

51.26% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.9% (

-0.1)

73.09% (

0.1)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.95% (

-0.12)

24.04% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.69% (

-0.17)

58.31% (

0.17)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.81% (

0.01)

30.19% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.65% (

0.01)

66.34% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 42.27%

Minnesota United 31.67%

Draw 26.05%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Minnesota United
1-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 42.27%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 31.67%