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Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2022 at 12.30am UK
PPL Park
Chicago Fire

Philadelphia
4 - 1
Chicago Fire

Gazdag (16'), Elliott (37'), Carranza (53'), Burke (82')
Bedoya (28'), Burke (85'), Carranza (86'), Mbaizo (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mueller (49')
Pineda (3'), Shaqiri (70'), Navarro (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, August 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

Last Six:
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-3 Chicago Fire
Sunday, August 7 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawChicago Fire
58.19% (-0.114 -0.11)22.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)19.56% (0.104 0.1)
Both teams to score 53.41% (0.155 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.88% (0.118 0.12)45.12% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.53% (0.113 0.11)67.46% (-0.117 -0.12)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79% (0.0010000000000048 0)15.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.15% (0.0049999999999955 0)43.84% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.99% (0.178 0.18)37.01% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.2% (0.176 0.18)73.8% (-0.181 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 58.18%
    Chicago Fire 19.56%
    Draw 22.24%
Philadelphia UnionDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.59% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.98% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.92%
3-0 @ 6.27% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.93% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 58.18%
1-1 @ 10.53%
0-0 @ 5.63% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.24%
0-1 @ 5.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 5.24% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 19.56%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Chicago Fire

Philadelphia Union
77.8%
Draw
0.0%
Chicago Fire
22.2%
18
Head to Head
Jun 30, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
1-0
Philadelphia
Navarro (68')
Teran (51')

Andres Martinez (29'), Bedoya (35'), Wagner (77'), Gazdag (83')
Andres Martinez (72')
Aug 1, 2021 11pm
Philadelphia
1-1
Chicago Fire
Wagner (36')
Glesnes (30'), Elliott (66')
Frankowski (10')
Herbers (41'), Beric (78')
Omsberg (34')
Jun 27, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
3-3
Philadelphia
Glesnes (2' og.), Sekulic (56'), Pineda (67')
Stojanovic (44'), Navarro (62'), Herbers (81')
Sullivan (28'), Burke (45+2'), Sekulic (79' og.)
Elliott (10'), Santos (34'), Wagner (52'), Powell (55')
May 8, 2021 6pm
Chicago Fire
0-2
Philadelphia

Kappelhof (26'), Omsberg (48'), Sekulic (90+2')
Burke (51'), Glesnes (60')
Monteiro (90+2'), Bedoya (90+6'), Glesnes (90+7')
> Preview
Oct 28, 2020 11.30pm
Philadelphia
2-1
Chicago Fire
Przybylko (28' pen.), Burke (65')
Elliott (16'), Fontana (48'), Bedoya (68'), Ilsinho (90+4')
Beric (42')
Beric (45'), Medran (57'), Mihailovic (88')
Calvo (36')