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Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2022 at 12.30am UK
PPL Park
Chicago Fire

Philadelphia
4 - 1
Chicago Fire

Gazdag (16'), Elliott (37'), Carranza (53'), Burke (82')
Bedoya (28'), Burke (85'), Carranza (86'), Mbaizo (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mueller (49')
Pineda (3'), Shaqiri (70'), Navarro (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, August 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

Last Six:
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-3 Chicago Fire
Sunday, August 7 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-0 Chicago Fire

 Chicago will be desperate to maintain their top seven position in the Eastern Conference, but Philly are only three points ahead of NYCFC for first, so there is just as much for them to play for at the moment. The Union have been incredibly potent, well-organised and full of confidence on home soil, all of which we believe will propel them to another victory at Subaru Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawChicago Fire
58.19% (-0.114 -0.11) 22.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 19.56% (0.104 0.1)
Both teams to score 53.41% (0.155 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.88% (0.118 0.12)45.12% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.53% (0.113 0.11)67.46% (-0.117 -0.12)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79% (0.0010000000000048 0)15.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.15% (0.0049999999999955 0)43.84% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.99% (0.178 0.18)37.01% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.2% (0.176 0.18)73.8% (-0.181 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 58.18%
    Chicago Fire 19.56%
    Draw 22.24%
Philadelphia UnionDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.59% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.98% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.92%
3-0 @ 6.27% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.93% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 58.18%
1-1 @ 10.53%
0-0 @ 5.63% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.24%
0-1 @ 5.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 5.24% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 19.56%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Chicago Fire

Philadelphia Union
77.8%
Draw
0.0%
Chicago Fire
22.2%
18
Head to Head
Jun 30, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
1-0
Philadelphia
Navarro (68')
Teran (51')

Andres Martinez (29'), Bedoya (35'), Wagner (77'), Gazdag (83')
Andres Martinez (72')
Aug 1, 2021 11pm
Philadelphia
1-1
Chicago Fire
Wagner (36')
Glesnes (30'), Elliott (66')
Frankowski (10')
Herbers (41'), Beric (78')
Omsberg (34')
Jun 27, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
3-3
Philadelphia
Glesnes (2' og.), Sekulic (56'), Pineda (67')
Stojanovic (44'), Navarro (62'), Herbers (81')
Sullivan (28'), Burke (45+2'), Sekulic (79' og.)
Elliott (10'), Santos (34'), Wagner (52'), Powell (55')
May 8, 2021 6pm
Chicago Fire
0-2
Philadelphia

Kappelhof (26'), Omsberg (48'), Sekulic (90+2')
Burke (51'), Glesnes (60')
Monteiro (90+2'), Bedoya (90+6'), Glesnes (90+7')
> Preview
Oct 28, 2020 11.30pm
Philadelphia
2-1
Chicago Fire
Przybylko (28' pen.), Burke (65')
Elliott (16'), Fontana (48'), Bedoya (68'), Ilsinho (90+4')
Beric (42')
Beric (45'), Medran (57'), Mihailovic (88')
Calvo (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami105322215718
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9441139416
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati9432108215
4Columbus Crew9351129314
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
6Toronto9414912-313
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta8323139411
8New York City FCNY City932499011
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9324911-211
10CF MontrealMontreal83231216-411
11DC United92431214-210
12Orlando City82331015-59
13Chicago Fire92341118-79
14Nashville SCNashville8143916-77
15New England RevolutionNew England8116514-94

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy95312115618
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8512179816
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9432158715
4Colorado RapidsColorado94321513215
5Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd8422139414
6Houston DynamoHouston841398113
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles93331514112
8St Louis City92611514112
9Austin FCAustin93331213-112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas92521716111
11Portland TimbersPortland92431818010
12Seattle SoundersSeattle81349906
13Dallas8125712-55
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes91081324-113
> Full Version


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