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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2022 at 12.30am UK
PPL Park
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia
4 - 1
Chicago Fire
Gazdag (16'), Elliott (37'), Carranza (53'), Burke (82')
Bedoya (28'), Burke (85'), Carranza (86'), Mbaizo (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mueller (49')
Pineda (3'), Shaqiri (70'), Navarro (82')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-3 Chicago Fire
Sunday, August 7 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-0 Chicago Fire

Chicago will be desperate to maintain their top seven position in the Eastern Conference, but Philly are only three points ahead of NYCFC for first, so there is just as much for them to play for at the moment. The Union have been incredibly potent, well-organised and full of confidence on home soil, all of which we believe will propel them to another victory at Subaru Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawChicago Fire
58.19% (-0.114 -0.11) 22.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 19.56% (0.104 0.1)
Both teams to score 53.41% (0.155 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.88% (0.118 0.12)45.12% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.53% (0.113 0.11)67.46% (-0.117 -0.12)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79% (0.0010000000000048 0)15.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.15% (0.0049999999999955 0)43.84% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.99% (0.178 0.18)37.01% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.2% (0.176 0.18)73.8% (-0.181 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 58.18%
    Chicago Fire 19.56%
    Draw 22.24%
Philadelphia UnionDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.59% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.98% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.92%
3-0 @ 6.27% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.93% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 58.18%
1-1 @ 10.53%
0-0 @ 5.63% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.24%
0-1 @ 5.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 5.24% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 19.56%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Chicago Fire

Philadelphia Union
77.8%
Draw
0.0%
Chicago Fire
22.2%
18
Head to Head
Jun 30, 2022 1am
Aug 1, 2021 11pm
Jun 27, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
3-3
Philadelphia
Glesnes (2' og.), Sekulic (56'), Pineda (67')
Stojanovic (44'), Navarro (62'), Herbers (81')
Sullivan (28'), Burke (45+2'), Sekulic (79' og.)
Elliott (10'), Santos (34'), Wagner (52'), Powell (55')
May 8, 2021 6pm
Chicago Fire
0-2
Philadelphia

Kappelhof (26'), Omsberg (48'), Sekulic (90+2')
Burke (51'), Glesnes (60')
Monteiro (90+2'), Bedoya (90+6'), Glesnes (90+7')
Oct 28, 2020 11.30pm
Philadelphia
2-1
Chicago Fire
Przybylko (28' pen.), Burke (65')
Elliott (16'), Fontana (48'), Bedoya (68'), Ilsinho (90+4')
Beric (42')
Beric (45'), Medran (57'), Mihailovic (88')
Calvo (36')
rhs 2.0
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