| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | New England Revolution | 22 | -2 | 27 |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 23 | -4 | 27 |
| 8 | Toronto | 23 | -9 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 25.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Charlotte FC | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 50.33% ( | 24.65% ( | 25.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.72% ( | 49.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.66% ( | 71.33% ( |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.41% ( | 19.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.47% ( | 51.52% ( |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.81% ( | 34.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.11% ( | 70.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlotte FC | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% ( 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 2-0 @ 8.9% ( 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 3-0 @ 4.84% ( 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 4-2 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 50.33% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0-2 @ 3.86% ( 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0-3 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 25.01% |